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Statistical analysis and a social network model based on the SEIQR framework

  • Mahidol University

Research output: Chapter in Book/Report/Conference proceeding › Conference contribution › peer-review

Abstract

Understanding, the spread of infectious diseases is an important key to efficiently control them. In this study, a susceptible-exposed-infectious-quarantined-recovered (SEIQR) model incorporated with adynamic social network is proposed to investigate the disease transmission dynamics in the human population and how the number of individual's neighbor (degree of a node), and the longest distance between any two neighboring nodes (the contact radius) influence the number of infectious individuals. Our results indicate that(l) the larger contact radius of an individual node leads to the higher number of infectious individuals (2) the degree of a node has significant effect on individual infection (the higher the degree of the node, the higher the possibility that individuals represented by those nodes spread the disease) and (3) the probability of successful infection can be estimated as a function of the degree of a node by the binary logistic regression model and we found that it may affect the outbreak period.

Original languageEnglish
Title of host publicationIEEM 2014 - 2014 IEEE International Conference on Industrial Engineering and Engineering Management
PublisherIEEE Computer Society
Pages414-418
Number of pages5
ISBN (Electronic)9781479964109
DOIs
Publication statusPublished - 2014
Externally publishedYes
Event2014 IEEE International Conference on Industrial Engineering and Engineering Management, IEEM 2014 - Selangor, Malaysia
Duration: 9 Dec 2014 → 12 Dec 2014

Publication series

NameIEEE International Conference on Industrial Engineering and Engineering Management
Volume2015-January
ISSN (Print)2157-3611
ISSN (Electronic)2157-362X

Conference

Conference2014 IEEE International Conference on Industrial Engineering and Engineering Management, IEEM 2014
Country/TerritoryMalaysia
CitySelangor
Period9/12/14 → 12/12/14

UN SDGs

This output contributes to the following UN Sustainable Development Goals (SDGs)

  1. SDG 3 - Good Health and Well-being
    SDG 3 Good Health and Well-being

Keywords

  • SEIQR model
  • degree of a node
  • disease transmission
  • social networks

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