Longitudinal profiling of plasma cytokines in melioidosis and their association with mortality: a prospective cohort study

Objectives: To characterize plasma cytokine responses in melioidosis and analyse their association with mortality. Methods: A prospective longitudinal study was conducted in two hospitals in Northeast Thailand to enrol 161 individuals with melioidosis, plus 13 uninfected healthy individuals and 11 uninfected individuals with diabetes to act as controls. Blood was obtained from all individuals at enrolment (day 0), and at days 5, 12 and 28 from surviving melioidosis patients. Interferon-γ (IFN-γ), interleukin-1β (IL-1β), IL-2, IL-4, IL-6, IL-8, IL-10, IL-12p70, IL-13, IL-17A, IL-23, and tumour necrosis factor-α (TNF-α) were assayed in plasma. The association of each cytokine and its dynamics with 28-day mortality was determined. Results: Of the individuals with melioidosis, 131/161 (81%) were bacteraemic, and 68/161 (42%) died. On enrolment, median levels of IFN-γ, IL-6, IL-8, IL-10, IL-23 and TNF-α were higher in individuals with melioidosis compared with uninfected healthy individuals and all but IFN-γ were positively associated with 28-day mortality. Interleukin-8 provided the best discrimination of mortality (area under the receiver operating characteristic curve 0.78, 95% CI 0.71–0.85). Over time, non-survivors had increasing IL-6, IL-8 and IL-17A levels, in contrast to survivors. In joint modelling, temporal trajectories of IFN-γ, IL-6, IL-8, IL-10 and TNF-α predicted survival. Conclusions: In a severely ill cohort of individuals with melioidosis, specific pro- and anti-inflammatory and T helper type 17 cytokines were associated with survival from melioidosis, at enrolment and over time. Persistent inflammation preceded death. These findings support further evaluation of these mediators as prognostic biomarkers and to guide targeted immunotherapeutic development for severe melioidosis.